2011 corn & bean yeild guess

[Hobbyfarmer]

There are guess's in other threads but here is the one that can sort out the best from the rest.

I'll start in the corn category with a 147.5 natl average.

My reasoning is there are still large areas suffering yield reductions. Two come to mind that I know about . right here in my area are 10's of thousands of acres of corn that has suffered substantial loss from wind blowing all or part of fields down last Friday and more damage added to that this morning about dawn with another wind event.

Western Kansas just got a significant hail storm 3 days ago that will effect yields of all feed grain crops in a 10 county area. more damage to crops in SW Neb from that storm too.

The hot nights right in pollination has been shown to also trim yields out in the center of fields.

Some of you know it but my mantra is "grow it, .. bin it, ..sell it" In that order.

I did not do beans as I have never been able to get that right on my place let alone on somebody else's.

[eci]

Well 55 Why did you start a tread on here today about this ? It's friday and most on here are more worryed if they are going to get there noodle wet or maybe just alittle stink fingure ! LMAO

[glowplug]

I'll still hold at a 149 bu. guesstimate. I'll take 43 bu. for soybeans.
Glowplug

[eci]

GP I think your pretty close to the corn , won't surprize me if it went lower , beans ? I still will say they are in big trouble anyway here and in part's of IL , most if not all IN and OH , I will go with 40. 5 on beans But I never hit it right LOL

I wonder were a guy could find some good chesse LMAO Have a good one , Ken

[ses]

I'm going with 147.6 on corn and 43.2 on the beans.

[lafarmer345]

I can tell u what I yielded( I know, the south don't count) but dryland yields here have been from plowed up zero, 14, up to 215 on irrigated. I have had the worst and the best corn I have ever raised. My overall avg will be 135. Should get thru tomorrow.

148.2
44.0

[looter]

I don't know anything about beans, but I will guess the Nat'l corn average is 147 and harvested acres are 86 million.

[acfarmer]

144 bu. on corn, 42 bu beans . I think we will see close to 10 dollar corn and 17 dollar beans

[mcupps]

there will be 40 acres less of corn harvested now than there was going to be 3 hours ago. Just went and checked a field that I really thought had some ears on it, but I was wrong.

Too late to do anything with, It will be fun to brushhog though.

[Bristol Hillbilly]

142.5 corn 42.75 beans.

[iowa55]

I hope the after hrs parties were good on the pro farmer tour. All they had to do was come here ...maybe they did? As they are high many times the actual may be in the low 140's. May be an out as many acres in the south will not go to harvest and therefore will not "count" and drag the national average down? Only Neb seems to be in really good shape overall.

[48]

One of the best deals about ag chat rooms is that you make contacts with people all over the ag geography and know what conditions are. Like ECI posting pictures from IN and Bins talking about OH and ICF NC IA and dman S MN and GP WI, etc.

But, unless you know each state's Trend Line yield and have adjusted it with each Monday's Crop Condition/Progress Report, these numbers you guys are posting are meaningless. How would you determine the "winner"? Answer: USDA. lol. And USDA reports are Comic Strips. Look at PF Crop Tour, they calibrate it to USDA.

There are private companies out there like Informa, Linn Group, Lanworth, etc. that post these. But, the bottom line is that the market trades USDA...right or wrong.

CIS just published a study that shows when USDA goes way below trend line in Aug, 7 of 8 years, the final yield is HIGHER.

[48]

One of the interesting things over the years is that the market focuses on IA. And...the prime area of IA is north of I80. It has always amazed me that such a little state...and only the north half of it at that...has such an impact on the market. Everybody knows that W KS is where the rubber hits the road on corn and cattle. lol.

[48]

ProFarmer's corn yield before they corrected for "historical errors"...i.e. calibrate to USDA...lol...was 158.75. Now...which way do you think USDA is going to go? lol.

[Sofakingwhat]

I do not get out enough to have seen enough to guess a national average. What I see on my 30 mile trek to night job and at home tell me locally yields will be less than last year's bin buster. On the home farm, 200bu corn is a good year and last year the farm average was 232. I'm going to go on a limb for 190 ish on corn and 60 on beans. But that is just 'here'.