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Post by Hobbyfarmer on Jan 23, 2012 9:13:38 GMT -5
Swing State Texas Facing Poor Wheat Harvest
Severe drought in Texas will lead to a poor harvest in 2012 as a large share of wheat planted will be abandoned.
Texas wheat has declined with the return of dry weather to the Southern Great Plains. The good-excellent Texas wheat fell to only 22% January 15. Poor-very poor wheat comprised 56% of Texas wheat, and the worst conditions since November 20.
Poor wheat conditions do not bode well for the new harvest. February is the time when producers decide whether to keep wheat or graze it out to cattle, using the crop as a feed grain. Damaged wheat land, not worth harvesting, may be planted with cotton, sorghum or corn in the spring.
Texas is a swing state in hard red wheat production. In years of drought, the percentage of wheat "abandoned", or not harvested for grain, is very high. Texas wheat losses in the 2005-06 crop season set a record when 75% of planted wheat went un-harvested.
West Texas the state's key wheat area has experienced the driest planting conditions since the mid 1950s with July-December rainfall only 52% of normal. Drought eased from early November to mid December with above-normal rain and snowmelt. It seemed as if the drought was finally resolving. However, very dry weather has resumed, once again, in the past month with re-strengthening of the La Niña .
La Niña Expected to Persist
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Post by Dave-ECIA on Jan 23, 2012 18:02:21 GMT -5
Depending on what part of the state you're talking about, parts of Texas don't look that bad. I was actually surprised to see that Oklahoma and Kansas were "normal".
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Post by Sheep Herder on Jan 23, 2012 19:30:39 GMT -5
I don't know how they can have us at +2 to 2.9 unusually moist. Six months ago I would have agreed, but it didn't rain since August, and today was the first significant snow we've had all year. Probably 4".
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Post by Dave-ECIA on Jan 25, 2012 10:12:24 GMT -5
www.drought.noaa.gov/palmer.htmlIt's standardized to the local climates and takes into consideration temperature, and the point in the growing season. Nothing is growing, so all moisture is available for the next growing season.
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Post by kwestfarms on Jan 25, 2012 16:38:03 GMT -5
Quick look at the map......Texas , Florida and of course the state near to me...Minneesota are the dry spots. Lets draw the line at the river!!!! John
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Post by kwestfarms on Jan 25, 2012 16:40:38 GMT -5
BTW Dave-ECIA : Thanks for posting the web site for noaa. John
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Post by Dave-ECIA on Jan 27, 2012 12:44:04 GMT -5
I thought it was curious too, the distinct line at the Dakota Minnesota border.
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Post by Grainbelt on Jan 27, 2012 17:30:34 GMT -5
Extremely moist is an understatement for SW Ohio.
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Post by 420 on Jan 27, 2012 19:22:18 GMT -5
Water everywhere in ECIN.
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swks
4-H er
Posts: 6
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Post by swks on Feb 18, 2012 23:48:56 GMT -5
That map must be just for this year since Jan 1. The reason SW KS shows normal is because we normally have very little moisture this time of year.
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Post by Mr. Snerdly on Feb 20, 2012 10:22:01 GMT -5
I think we are going to have a very poor year. It will never stop raining in the spring, people will do foolish things in order to get corn planted by 20 Jun 12, and after that it will stop raining completely, followed by an early frost. The only way to survive will be to plant the very earliest milo you can get.
Milo is about to make a great comeback after this year.
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Post by Dave-ECIA on Feb 22, 2012 18:44:49 GMT -5
That map must be just for this year since Jan 1. The reason SW KS shows normal is because we normally have very little moisture this time of year. That map takes into consideration crop needs. Right now you probably have little need for water also.
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